Sense, orient and decide

Icon Sense, Orient, Decide

Start orienting yourself quickly in the crisis by observing, speaking to different audiences and mapping out possible trajectories.

Early phase of the crisis timeline

What: A period of sensing and observing to orientate yourself and your team, followed by scenario planning to map out and prioritise opportunities for mindset change.

When: The early phase of the crisis.

Why: Orienting yourself as soon as possible will help you identify the opportunities and obstacles to creating mindset change during a crisis. It will also give you an advantage over those with opposing agendas also vying for the new mindset space.

Learn more: Read about disorientation in The Disrupted Mind Part 1: Scientific Insights.

How to

Sense and observe

Map out possible scenarios & decide

Assess regularly

Tools

John Boyle’s OODA Loop

John Boyle's OODA Loop (Observe- Orient- Decide- Act) is a useful guide for sensemaking. The more efficiently this process can be repeated, the faster your organisation can improve its impact.

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MTD Lab’s ‘Lean Research’ tools & resources

Guides, case studies, and publications from on the Lean Research approach.

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Examples

    Scenario planning during COVID-19

    The four scenarios from The Long Crisis Scenarios

    In May 2020 The Long Crisis Network and Local Trust released The Long Crisis Scenarios, exploring the implications of Covid-19 on decision making and the potential opportunities to drive change. They put forward four near-future scenarios focussed on two specific drivers of change: collective action versus polarisation and centralised responses versus distributed ones. This allowed them to imagine what could happen and map opportunities for changemakers to influence these potential futures.

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